San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 5/4/24

Game Info: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 6:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Ranger Suarez (5-0) (1.32) vs Keaton Winn (3-3) (3.18)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -152 / San Francisco Giants +127 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Francisco Giants and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here's a San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The San Francisco Giants recent form and player performance

• The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Francisco Giants

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Giants and Phillies

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Giants vs Phillies game

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

Earlier this week the Giants took on the Boston Red Sox. San Francisco lost the first two games of that series 4-0 and 6-2 but staved off the sweep with a 3-1 win on Thursday. In the Friday opener versus Philly, the Giants gave up an early 2-0 lead and ended up losing 4-3. Jordan Hicks managed 4.0 innings in the start with two earned on four hits and four walks.

As starting pitcher for Saturday's game, the Giants will go with Keaton Winn. This year Winn is 3-3 with a 3.18 ERA in six starts. He's got 28 Ks in 34.0 innings. Winn is 4-6 with a 4.01 ERA in 15 career games (11 starts).

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Over on the Phillies' side, they played the Los Angeles Angels in their early-week series. After a 6-5 win in the opener of that set, Philadelphia came back for wins 7-5 and 2-1 in the next pair. On Friday the Phillies got a pair of RBI from Brandon Marsh during the victory. Starter Aaron Nola put up two earned on four hits and four walks in 4.0 innings with four strikeouts.

It'll be Ranger Suarez in the starting pitcher role for the Phillies on Saturday. Over his six starts Suarez is 5-0 with a 1.32 ERA and 40 Ks in 41.0 innings. Suarez is 34-21 with a 3.24 ERA in 140 career games (72 starts).

Giants vs Phillies Injury Notes

Giants RP Tristan Beck (arm) has been given the go-ahead to began a throwing program. Beck is on the 60-day Injured List.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has hit a home run in three of the Phillies' last four games against the Giants.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies' last seven night games.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies' last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances.
• Trea Turner has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies' last 11 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies' last nine home games.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in five of the Phillies' last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded two or more hits in each of the Phillies' last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ranger Suarez ranks T1st in the league for Wins (5) this season.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Wilmer Flores has scored a run in eight of the Giants' last nine games at Citizens Bank Park.
• Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Phillies.
• Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Phillies.
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Thairo Estrada has recorded a Double in three of the Giants' last four road games against NL East opponents.
• Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Giants as underdogs against the Phillies.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (314).
• The Philadelphia Phillies rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (40).
• The San Francisco Giants rank 29th in the league for steals this season (13).
• The San Francisco Giants rank 25th in the league for hits allowed this season (278).

San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I'll stay with Philly. Suarez is doing great this year. Over his last three starts, he's 3-0 with 24.0 total innings, one earned, 12 hits and two walks. Suarez went 7.0 or more innings in each of those outings. As for Winn, he's 3-0 in his last trio himself, going 18.0 total innings (6.0 in each) with just three earned. This should be a great starter matchup.

On Friday Philadelphia didn't have the biggest offensive night, but a couple of productive innings carried the team to victory alongside a nice pitching effort. The bullpen was great between five different pitchers, combining for four hits, one earned, no walks and seven Ks. I like the Phillies to keep it up on Saturday. Should be another close game.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.